Shortage of transport capacity to Russia

On the 2nd of April 2012 the Russian president has published the introduction of a new penalty with order No.31-FZ. This new regulation will be in force after 30 days after the official publication date, so it will be most likely valid as from May 2nd 2012.

This new regulation causes already a drastic increase for road transport from Europe to Russia. The reason for this increase is the following: During the last years it has become “normal” that Baltic-, Byelorussian- and Polish transporters were using bi-lateral licences for all European cargo and as a result 80% to 90% of all shipments to Russia are carried under this bilateral licence. So actually most of the cargo to Russia is carried with licences, which does not fulfil the regulations in full. But this was accepted by all parties. The new order might result in a reduction of the overall transport capacity of up to 80%.

In addition we assume that the intermodal volumes via Finnish and Baltic ports will increase drastically as well and as we have seen in the past might lead to drastic changes of market prices.

The order of Russia doesn’t influence the Traffic from Wim Bosman to Russia via the CON-trailer system and therefore can still provide the necessary capacity. However in a later stage we assume that the intermodal volumes via Finnish and Baltic ports will increase drastically as well and as we have seen in the past and this might lead to a drastic increase of market prices.



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